Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.76
assuming max odds 1.58
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jack Pinnington Jones (Local): 38.72%; Chak Lam Coleman Wong (Visit): 61.28%. For Jack Pinnington Jones (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.85%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV +6.85%E +2.48%K +3.89%G +0.267% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -9.30%E -6.28%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-16 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +6.47%E +2.35%K +3.70%G +0.239% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -11.14%E -7.68%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 16:48 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +0.659%E +0.254%K +0.412%G +0.003% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -11.75%E -8.16%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +0.659%E +0.254%K +0.412%G +0.003% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -11.75%E -8.16%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.08%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.07%E -5.38%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-16 16:46 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.08%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.30%E -6.28%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-16 16:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.02%E -3.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.17%E -2.01%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-16 16:48 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.02%E -3.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-16 16:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.02%E -3.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.40%E -2.82%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.96%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-16 16:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.96%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.01%E -3.23%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.96%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.01%E -3.23%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27% | 2.5% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |