L’École des cotes

Frances Tiafoe v Jannik Sinner

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-26 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Frances Tiafoe (Local)

Prévision 7.13%14.02cote équitable
EV +7.01%
Avantage +0.467%
Kelly +0.500%
Croissance +0.035%

avec la cote maximale 15.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.37%7.28%7.28%10.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.0012.7013.0015.0011.11%7.87%7.69%6.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jannik Sinner (Visiteur)

Prévision 92.87%1.08cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -2.37%
Kelly -49.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
89.73%92.72%92.72%93.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.031.031.0599.01%97.14%97.09%95.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.01%E +0.467%K +0.500%G +0.035%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 16:54
Paddy Power15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.01%E +0.467%K +0.500%G +0.035%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 16:55
Winamax (DE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.01%E +0.467%K +0.500%G +0.035%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 16:50
BoyleSports15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.01%E +0.467%K +0.500%G +0.035%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-25 18:54
FanDuel15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.01%E +0.467%K +0.500%G +0.035%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 16:54
Bovada15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.01%E +0.467%K +0.500%G +0.035%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 10:15
Pinnacle14.50I 6.90%NM 6.75%EV +3.44%E +0.237%K +0.255%G +0.009%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.25%EV -2.49%E -2.37%K -49.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-26 16:45
1xBet14.10I 7.09%NM 6.75%EV +0.587%E +0.042%K +0.045%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.25%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 16:54
PointsBet (AU)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.127%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 16:05
Winamax (FR)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.127%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 16:50
theScore Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -0.127%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 16:05
NetBet (FR)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -0.127%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.21%E -6.14%K -620.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 15:09
LowVig.ag13.75I 7.27%NM 6.97%EV -1.91%E -0.139%K -0.150%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.03%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 15:20
BetOnline.ag13.75I 7.27%NM 6.97%EV -1.91%E -0.139%K -0.150%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.03%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 15:20
Fliff13.15I 7.60%NM 7.13%EV -6.19%E -0.471%K -0.510%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.87%EV -6.21%E -6.14%K -620.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-26 16:50
Betsson13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 16:05
Parions Sport (FR)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 16:55
NordicBet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 16:05
ReBet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 16:05
Bet Right13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 16:05
DraftKings13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 16:14
Coral13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 02:25
Ladbrokes (UK)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 02:25
Unibet (FR)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 16:54
SportsBet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 16:25
Betway13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 16:45
888sport13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-25 04:20
William Hill13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-25 04:20
888sport (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-25 05:09
Mr Green (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-25 05:10
PMU (FR)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.21%E -6.14%K -620.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 15:49
Marathon Bet12.75I 7.84%NM 7.41%EV -9.04%E -0.709%K -0.770%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.59%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 16:39
BetMGM12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -10.83%E -0.866%K -0.942%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 02:34
GTbets12.13I 8.24%NM 7.76%EV -13.47%E -1.11%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.24%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 15:29
BetRivers12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 15:30
LeoVegas12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 15:30
Unibet (NL)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 15:30
Casumo12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 15:30
Grosvenor12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 15:30
Unibet (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 15:30
TABtouch12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 15:30
LiveScore Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 15:30
Unibet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 15:30
betPARX12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 15:30
Bally Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 15:29
Svenska Spel12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 15:29
ATG (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 15:29
Hard Rock Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 15:29
Fanatics12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 16:04
Caesars12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-25 10:25
TAB11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -21.53%E -1.96%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 10:24
Virgin Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -25.10%E -2.39%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 15:29
Betr (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -28.66%E -2.87%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 12:00
PlayUp10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -28.66%E -2.87%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 15:39
Bet Victor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -35.80%E -3.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-26 16:55
Everygame9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -35.80%E -3.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-26 06:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79%0.6%2026-03-26 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79%0.6%2026-03-26 16:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79%0.6%2026-03-26 16:45
Smarkets15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%0.8%2026-03-26 16:55
Matchbook15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%0.8%2026-03-26 16:55
ProphetX15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%1.0%2026-03-26 16:30
Novig14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%1.3%2026-03-26 16:55