Idioma:Español
Frances Tiafoe v Jannik Sinner
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Frances Tiafoe (Local)
Predicción 7.13%14.02momio equitativo
EV +7.01%
Ventaja +0.467%
Kelly +0.500%
Crecimiento +0.035%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 15.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.37%7.28%7.28%10.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
9.0012.7013.0015.0011.11%7.87%7.69%6.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jannik Sinner (Visitante)
Predicción 92.87%1.08momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -2.37%
Kelly -49.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
89.73%92.72%92.72%93.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.011.031.031.0599.01%97.14%97.09%95.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Frances Tiafoe (Local): 7.13%; Jannik Sinner (Visitante): 92.87%. Para Frances Tiafoe (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 14.02. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 15.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.01%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.01%E +0.467%K +0.500%G +0.035% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 16:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.01%E +0.467%K +0.500%G +0.035% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.01%E +0.467%K +0.500%G +0.035% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.01%E +0.467%K +0.500%G +0.035% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-25 18:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.01%E +0.467%K +0.500%G +0.035% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 16:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.01%E +0.467%K +0.500%G +0.035% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 10:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.75%EV +3.44%E +0.237%K +0.255%G +0.009% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.25%EV -2.49%E -2.37%K -49.81%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-26 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 14.10I 7.09%NM 6.75%EV +0.587%E +0.042%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.25%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 16:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.127%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.127%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -0.127%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 16:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -0.127%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.21%E -6.14%K -620.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 15:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 13.75I 7.27%NM 6.97%EV -1.91%E -0.139%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.03%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 13.75I 7.27%NM 6.97%EV -1.91%E -0.139%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.03%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 15:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 13.15I 7.60%NM 7.13%EV -6.19%E -0.471%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.87%EV -6.21%E -6.14%K -620.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-26 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 16:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 16:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 16:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 16:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 16:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-25 02:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-25 02:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 16:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-26 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-26 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-25 04:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-25 04:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-25 05:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-25 05:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -7.26%E -0.559%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.21%E -6.14%K -620.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-26 15:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.41%EV -9.04%E -0.709%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.59%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -10.83%E -0.866%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 02:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 12.13I 8.24%NM 7.76%EV -13.47%E -1.11%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.24%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 15:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 15:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 15:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 15:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 15:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 15:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 15:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 15:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 15:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 15:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-26 16:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -14.39%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-25 10:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -21.53%E -1.96%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-26 10:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -25.10%E -2.39%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.28%E -5.17%K -263.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-26 15:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -28.66%E -2.87%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 12:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -28.66%E -2.87%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.42%E -3.29%K -85.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 15:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -35.80%E -3.98%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-26 16:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -35.80%E -3.98%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.35%E -4.22%K -144.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-26 06:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-26 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-26 16:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-26 16:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 0.8% | 2026-03-26 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 0.8% | 2026-03-26 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 1.0% | 2026-03-26 16:30 |
| Novig◎ | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 1.3% | 2026-03-26 16:55 |