Language:English
Ethan Quinn v Jiri Lehecka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ethan Quinn (Local)
Prediction 45.01%2.22fair odd
EV +3.53%
Edge +1.53%
Kelly +2.71%
Growth +0.096%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%44.94%44.91%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.3050.00%47.47%47.62%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jiri Lehecka (Visit)
Prediction 54.99%1.82fair odd
EV +0.627%
Edge +0.343%
Kelly +0.755%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%55.06%55.09%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.721.721.8361.73%58.15%58.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ethan Quinn (Local): 45.01%; Jiri Lehecka (Visit): 54.99%. For Ethan Quinn (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +3.53%E +1.53%K +2.71%G +0.096% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -10.92%E -6.74%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.972%E -0.442%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.17%E -4.89%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.972%E -0.442%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.17%E -4.89%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.972%E -0.442%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.17%E -4.89%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.972%E -0.442%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.17%E -4.89%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.32%E -2.48%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.42%E -3.15%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.67%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.87%E -2.82%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.67%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.87%E -2.82%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.67%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.87%E -2.82%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.67%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.87%E -2.82%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.67%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.87%E -2.82%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.67%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.87%E -2.82%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.67%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.87%E -2.82%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.67%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.87%E -2.82%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.67%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.87%E -2.82%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.67%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.87%E -2.82%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.67%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.87%E -2.82%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.12%E -1.94%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.42%E -3.15%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -4.12%E -1.94%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -7.07%E -4.18%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.57%E -2.16%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.32%E -2.48%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.57%E -2.16%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.87%E -2.82%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.57%E -2.16%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.42%E -3.15%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.57%E -2.16%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.42%E -3.15%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.02%E -2.38%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.42%E -3.15%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -5.02%E -2.38%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -7.62%E -4.54%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.47%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.12%E -1.19%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.47%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.67%E -1.51%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.47%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.47%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.32%E -2.48%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.47%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.87%E -2.82%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.47%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.42%E -3.15%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.47%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.97%E -3.49%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.47%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.97%E -3.49%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.47%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.52%E -3.84%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.47%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.52%E -3.84%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.47%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.52%E -3.84%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.47%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.52%E -3.84%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.47%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.17%E -4.89%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.47%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.17%E -4.89%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.92%E -2.83%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.37%E -3.06%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.52%E -3.84%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.37%E -3.06%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.52%E -3.84%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -6.82%E -3.30%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -5.97%E -3.49%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.72%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.72%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.72%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.32%E -2.48%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.72%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.87%E -2.82%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.72%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.97%E -3.49%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.72%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.52%E -3.84%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.72%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.17%E -4.89%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.97%E -4.99%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.627%E +0.343%K +0.755%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.97%E -4.99%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.627%E +0.343%K +0.755%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.97%E -4.99%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.67%E -1.51%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.97%E -4.99%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.97%E -3.49%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.97%E -4.99%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.52%E -3.84%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 1.9% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57% | 2.4% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |