The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Dane Sweeny v Rinky Hijikata

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dane Sweeny (Local)

Prediction 29.66%3.37fair odd
EV +3.80%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.52%
Growth +0.058%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%29.43%29.85%31.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.173.103.5033.33%31.52%32.26%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rinky Hijikata (Visit)

Prediction 70.34%1.42fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -7.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.92%70.57%70.15%72.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.331.3876.92%74.79%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dane Sweeny (Local): 29.66%; Rinky Hijikata (Visit): 70.34%. For Dane Sweeny (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.80%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.80%E +1.09%K +1.52%G +0.058%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.55%E -6.58%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-16 23:10
Pinnacle🎯3.39I 29.50%NM 28.33%EV +0.538%E +0.159%K +0.225%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.67%EV -5.74%E -4.28%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 23:50
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.61%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-16 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -4.50%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.63%E -2.65%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-16 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -4.50%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.63%E -2.65%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-16 23:10
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.15%E -5.41%K -22.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-16 23:10
Fliff🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.15%E -5.41%K -22.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-16 23:10
Everygame🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.55%E -6.58%K -28.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 23:10
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 23:10
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.44%E -4.85%K -19.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-16 23:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.44%E -4.85%K -19.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-16 23:10
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.44%E -4.85%K -19.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-16 23:10
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.15%E -5.41%K -22.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 23:10
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.15%E -5.41%K -22.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 23:10
GTbets🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -9.25%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 23:10
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.44%E -4.85%K -19.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 23:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%4.2%2026-03-16 23:50