Language:English
Corentin Moutet v Tomas Machac
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Corentin Moutet (Local)
Prediction 40.53%2.47fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.627%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.70%40.46%40.68%41.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.342.352.4344.44%42.70%42.55%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tomas Machac (Visit)
Prediction 59.47%1.68fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -2.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.23%59.54%59.32%60.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.591.601.6564.10%62.71%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Corentin Moutet (Local): 40.53%; Tomas Machac (Visit): 59.47%. For Corentin Moutet (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.43, with an expected value of -1.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -1.52%E -0.627%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.64%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -1.52%E -0.627%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.64%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.74%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.03%E -3.82%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -3.14%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -6.03%E -3.82%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.46%E -1.50%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.44%E -3.42%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.03%E -3.82%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.65%E -2.25%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.65%E -2.25%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.25%E -2.64%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.25%E -2.64%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.03%E -3.82%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.22%E -4.63%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 17:33 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.17%E -2.21%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.58%E -2.39%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.25%E -2.64%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.58%E -2.39%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.25%E -2.64%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.58%E -2.39%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.25%E -2.64%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.58%E -2.39%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.58%E -2.39%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.87%E -1.13%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 17:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.65%E -2.25%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.44%E -3.42%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.03%E -3.82%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.03%E -3.82%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 17:33 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.3% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10% | 2.7% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |