Language:English
Christopher O'Connell v Marton Fucsovics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Christopher O'Connell (Local)
Prediction 37.25%2.68fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.482%
Kelly -0.774%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.14%37.49%37.04%39.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.532.552.6542.02%39.56%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marton Fucsovics (Visit)
Prediction 62.75%1.59fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -4.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.76%62.51%62.96%63.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.501.501.5567.57%66.51%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Christopher O'Connell (Local): 37.25%; Marton Fucsovics (Visit): 62.75%. For Christopher O'Connell (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -1.28%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.28%E -0.482%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -7.14%E -4.82%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.14%E -1.21%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.63%E -3.04%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.14%E -1.21%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.37%E -2.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.00%E -1.96%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:13 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.86%E -2.75%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.88%E -3.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.86%E -2.75%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.51%E -4.37%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.86%E -2.75%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.14%E -4.82%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.86%E -2.75%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.14%E -4.82%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -8.73%E -3.56%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -7.14%E -4.82%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-20 19:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.59%E -4.41%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.74%E -1.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.34%E -4.76%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.00%E -2.61%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.34%E -4.76%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.00%E -2.61%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.34%E -4.76%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.00%E -2.61%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 0.9% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.86% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.14% | 1.5% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97% | 2.3% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |