A Escola das Odds

Casper Ruud v Ethan Quinn

Início: 2026-03-20 17:40 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Casper Ruud (Local)

Previsão 62.58%1.60odd justa
EV -0.504%
Vantagem -0.317%
Kelly -0.854%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.15%62.55%62.50%66.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.411.501.501.5970.92%66.51%66.67%62.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ethan Quinn (Visitante)

Previsão 37.42%2.67odd justa
EV +2.92%
Vantagem +1.06%
Kelly +1.67%
Crescimento +0.049%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.89%37.45%37.50%39.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.382.542.552.7542.02%39.35%39.22%36.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -11.77%E -8.35%K -28.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV +2.92%E +1.06%K +1.67%G +0.049%7.3%2026-03-20 17:35
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -7.39%E -4.99%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV +1.79%E +0.659%K +1.04%G +0.019%4.3%2026-03-20 17:35
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -9.89%E -6.87%K -22.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +1.04%E +0.387%K +0.615%G +0.006%6.5%2026-03-20 17:35
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -4.26%E -2.78%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -1.20%E -0.455%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-20 17:25
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -8.01%E -5.45%K -17.05%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -1.20%E -0.455%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 17:35
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.01%E -1.94%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-20 17:10
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.63%E -2.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 16:59
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 17:00
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 16:59
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 17:00
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 17:00
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 17:05
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 17:04
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 12:19
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.39%E -4.99%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 17:34
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.51%E -3.65%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.45%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 17:35
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -3.45%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 17:05
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.57%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 17:35
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.57%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 17:35
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.76%E -4.54%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.57%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 17:00
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.76%E -4.54%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.57%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 17:05
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.39%E -4.99%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.57%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 17:00
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.39%E -4.99%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.57%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 17:00
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.39%E -4.99%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.57%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 17:00
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.26%E -2.78%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 17:00
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.88%E -3.21%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 09:24
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 17:05
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 17:00
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 17:00
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.39%E -4.99%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 09:40
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.39%E -4.99%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 09:40
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.01%E -5.45%K -17.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.26%E -6.39%K -20.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 17:00
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -0.504%E -0.317%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -6.81%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -0.504%E -0.317%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -6.81%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 17:00
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -7.39%E -4.99%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -8.31%E -3.39%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 17:00
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -0.504%E -0.317%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -10.18%E -4.24%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 16:59
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.01%E -1.94%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.18%E -4.24%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 17:00
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.88%E -3.21%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.18%E -4.24%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 17:00
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.18%E -4.24%K -7.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 17:31
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.26%E -2.78%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.93%E -4.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 17:35
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.26%E -2.78%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.93%E -4.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 17:35
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.26%E -2.78%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.93%E -4.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 17:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-03-20 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-03-20 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-03-20 17:10
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-03-20 17:35
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 64.25%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.75%1.7%2026-03-20 17:35
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%6.5%2026-03-20 17:33