La escuela de los momios

Casper Ruud v Ethan Quinn

Inicio: 2026-03-20 17:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Casper Ruud (Local)

Predicción 62.58%1.60momio equitativo
EV -0.504%
Ventaja -0.317%
Kelly -0.854%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.15%62.55%62.50%66.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.411.501.501.5970.92%66.51%66.67%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ethan Quinn (Visitante)

Predicción 37.42%2.67momio equitativo
EV +2.92%
Ventaja +1.06%
Kelly +1.67%
Crecimiento +0.049%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.89%37.45%37.50%39.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.542.552.7542.02%39.35%39.22%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -11.77%E -8.35%K -28.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV +2.92%E +1.06%K +1.67%G +0.049%7.3%2026-03-20 17:35
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -7.39%E -4.99%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV +1.79%E +0.659%K +1.04%G +0.019%4.3%2026-03-20 17:35
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -9.89%E -6.87%K -22.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +1.04%E +0.387%K +0.615%G +0.006%6.5%2026-03-20 17:35
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -4.26%E -2.78%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -1.20%E -0.455%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-20 17:25
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -8.01%E -5.45%K -17.05%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -1.20%E -0.455%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 17:35
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.01%E -1.94%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-20 17:10
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.63%E -2.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 16:59
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 17:00
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 16:59
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 17:00
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 17:00
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 17:05
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 17:04
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 12:19
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.39%E -4.99%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 17:34
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.51%E -3.65%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.45%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 17:35
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -3.45%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 17:05
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.57%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 17:35
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.57%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 17:35
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.76%E -4.54%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.57%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 17:00
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.76%E -4.54%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.57%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 17:05
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.39%E -4.99%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.57%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 17:00
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.39%E -4.99%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.57%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 17:00
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.39%E -4.99%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.57%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 17:00
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.26%E -2.78%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 17:00
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.88%E -3.21%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 09:24
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 17:05
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 17:00
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 17:00
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.39%E -4.99%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 09:40
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.39%E -4.99%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 09:40
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.01%E -5.45%K -17.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.26%E -6.39%K -20.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 17:00
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -0.504%E -0.317%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -6.81%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -0.504%E -0.317%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -6.81%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 17:00
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -7.39%E -4.99%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -8.31%E -3.39%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 17:00
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -0.504%E -0.317%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -10.18%E -4.24%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 16:59
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.01%E -1.94%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.18%E -4.24%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 17:00
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.88%E -3.21%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.18%E -4.24%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 17:00
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.18%E -4.24%K -7.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 17:31
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.26%E -2.78%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.93%E -4.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 17:35
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.26%E -2.78%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.93%E -4.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 17:35
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.26%E -2.78%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.93%E -4.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 17:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-03-20 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-03-20 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-03-20 17:10
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-03-20 17:35
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 64.25%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.75%1.7%2026-03-20 17:35
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%6.5%2026-03-20 17:33