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Botic van de Zandschulp v Taylor Fritz
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Botic van de Zandschulp (Local)
Prediction 23.65%4.23fair odd
EV +30.05%
Edge +5.46%
Kelly +6.68%
Growth +2.01%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.92%23.07%23.30%27.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.883.755.5030.30%25.80%26.67%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Taylor Fritz (Visit)
Prediction 76.35%1.31fair odd
EV +0.024%
Edge +0.018%
Kelly +0.077%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.05%76.93%76.70%83.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.251.251.3189.29%80.09%80.00%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Botic van de Zandschulp (Local): 23.65%; Taylor Fritz (Visit): 76.35%. For Botic van de Zandschulp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +30.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +30.05%E +5.46%K +6.68%G +2.01% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -14.48%E -12.93%K -120.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 22:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +15.86%E +3.24%K +4.07%G +0.645% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -11.43%E -9.85%K -71.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 22:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.93%EV +13.03%E +2.73%K +3.45%G +0.449% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.07%EV -9.14%E -7.68%K -48.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +6.41%E +1.42%K +1.83%G +0.117% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -9.90%E -8.39%K -55.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +6.41%E +1.42%K +1.83%G +0.117% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.67%E -9.12%K -62.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.495%E +0.116%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.85%E -5.61%K -31.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.495%E +0.116%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.85%E -5.61%K -31.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.687%E -0.164%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.38%E -6.98%K -41.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 22:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -0.687%E -0.164%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -9.14%E -7.68%K -48.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.05%E -0.744%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.85%E -5.61%K -31.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.05%E -0.744%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.85%E -5.61%K -31.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.05%E -0.744%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -7.61%E -6.29%K -36.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.42%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.56%E -3.65%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 22:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.42%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.32%E -4.29%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.42%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.32%E -4.29%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.42%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.85%E -5.61%K -31.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.78%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.56%E -3.65%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.78%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.56%E -3.65%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.74%EV -10.62%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.26%EV +0.024%E +0.018%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-20 22:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.33%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.56%E -3.65%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.33%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.56%E -3.65%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.33%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.56%E -3.65%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.33%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.56%E -3.65%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.33%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.56%E -3.65%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.33%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.32%E -4.29%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.33%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.85%E -5.61%K -31.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.33%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.85%E -5.61%K -31.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.51%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.27%E -1.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.51%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.27%E -1.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -12.51%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.03%E -2.39%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -12.98%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -0.740%E -0.569%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -12.98%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -0.740%E -0.569%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 22:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.81%EV -12.98%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.19%EV -2.27%E -1.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -13.69%E -3.75%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.27%E -1.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 22:28 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.87%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.50%E -1.17%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:31 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.87%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.50%E -1.17%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.87%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.50%E -1.17%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.87%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.50%E -1.17%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.87%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.50%E -1.17%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.87%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.50%E -1.17%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:32 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.87%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.27%E -1.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.87%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.27%E -1.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -14.87%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.03%E -2.39%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -14.87%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.03%E -2.39%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -14.87%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -5.32%E -4.29%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -15.82%E -4.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -0.740%E -0.569%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -16.06%E -4.52%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -4.56%E -3.65%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -16.06%E -4.52%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -4.56%E -3.65%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -17.24%E -4.93%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.50%E -1.17%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 22:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -21.97%E -6.66%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -2.27%E -1.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12% | 1.9% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 3.89I 25.71%NM 25.05% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.95% | 2.6% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |