Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.30
assuming max odds 3.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Blockx (Local): 73.63%; Chun-Hsin Tseng (Visit): 26.37%. For Chun-Hsin Tseng (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -1.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.21%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.79%EV -1.38%E -0.370%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-16 20:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.23%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-16 20:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.23%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-16 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-16 20:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.03%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-16 20:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.75%E -4.49%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.44%E -0.659%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 20:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.75%E -4.49%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -12.99%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-16 20:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-16 20:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -11.67%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.96%E -6.37%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.44%E -0.659%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-16 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.96%E -6.37%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.44%E -0.659%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-16 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -7.96%E -6.37%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -9.03%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-16 20:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -7.96%E -6.37%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00% | 4.0% | 2026-03-16 20:45 |