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Alexander Blockx v Christopher O'Connell
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Blockx (Local)
Prediction 67.65%1.48fair odd
EV +9.60%
Edge +5.93%
Kelly +15.48%
Growth +1.49%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.97%66.73%67.97%75.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.431.401.6280.00%70.01%71.43%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Christopher O'Connell (Visit)
Prediction 32.35%3.09fair odd
EV +21.30%
Edge +5.68%
Kelly +7.74%
Growth +1.65%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%33.27%32.03%41.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.822.703.7543.48%35.50%37.04%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Blockx (Local): 67.65%; Christopher O'Connell (Visit): 32.35%. For Christopher O'Connell (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -15.43%E -12.35%K -61.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +21.30%E +5.68%K +7.74%G +1.65% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -10.02%E -7.53%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +6.74%E +2.04%K +2.93%G +0.198% | 5.5% | 2026-03-17 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -14.08%E -11.09%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV +5.12%E +1.58%K +2.28%G +0.117% | 9.5% | 2026-03-17 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -10.02%E -7.53%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +3.51%E +1.10%K +1.59%G +0.056% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 17:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +3.51%E +1.10%K +1.59%G +0.056% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -12.73%E -9.87%K -43.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV +3.51%E +1.10%K +1.59%G +0.056% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 17:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.59%EV -14.08%E -11.09%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV +3.51%E +1.10%K +1.59%G +0.056% | 10.0% | 2026-03-17 17:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -12.05%E -9.27%K -40.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV +1.89%E +0.600%K +0.879%G +0.017% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.67%E -6.42%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +0.272%E +0.088%K +0.130%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 17:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.64%E -4.81%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.96%E -0.988%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 17:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.02%E -7.53%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.96%E -0.988%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.28%E -3.77%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 17:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.93%E -2.77%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -12.67%E -4.69%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 17:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.28%E -3.77%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -12.67%E -4.69%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 17:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -2.58%E -1.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -15.25%E -5.82%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 17:23 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV +5.54%E +3.55%K +9.89%G +0.548% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -18.81%E -7.49%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-17 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV +5.54%E +3.55%K +9.89%G +0.548% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -19.14%E -7.65%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV +8.25%E +5.15%K +13.74%G +1.13% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -19.78%E -7.98%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV +8.25%E +5.15%K +13.74%G +1.13% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -19.78%E -7.98%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV +4.86%E +3.14%K +8.84%G +0.430% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -20.43%E -8.30%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV +3.51%E +2.29%K +6.62%G +0.233% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -22.37%E -9.32%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 17:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV +9.60%E +5.93%K +15.48%G +1.49% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -23.34%E -9.85%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV +3.51%E +2.29%K +6.62%G +0.233% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -23.99%E -10.21%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +8.25%E +5.15%K +13.74%G +1.13% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -25.60%E -11.13%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV +1.48%E +0.988%K +2.96%G +0.044% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -25.60%E -11.13%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-03-17 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-03-17 17:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13% | 3.8% | 2026-03-17 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 17:25 |