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Aleksandar Vukic v Billy Harris
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aleksandar Vukic (Local)
assuming max odds 1.67
Billy Harris (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aleksandar Vukic (Local): 58.44%; Billy Harris (Visit): 41.56%. For Billy Harris (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -0.266%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.40%E -1.44%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.73%E -6.06%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 01:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.57%E -2.16%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.32%E -3.28%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.266%E -0.111%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-17 01:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.32%E -3.28%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.266%E -0.111%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-17 01:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.91%E -3.67%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.266%E -0.111%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-17 01:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.49%E -4.06%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 01:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.07%E -4.45%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 01:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.66%E -4.85%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.34%E -0.997%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.24%E -5.25%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 01:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.24%E -5.25%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-17 01:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.24%E -5.25%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-17 01:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.24%E -5.25%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.65%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-17 01:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.41%E -6.07%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 01:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -41.56%E -41.56%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -58.44%E -58.44%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 100.0% | 2026-03-17 01:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 66.45% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 33.55% | 47.5% | 2026-03-17 01:50 |