La scuola delle quote

Adam Walton v Rinky Hijikata

Inizio: 2026-03-17 21:08 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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29 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Adam Walton (Casa)

Previsione 52.11%1.92quota equa
EV +12.05%
Vantaggio +5.60%
Kelly +10.47%
Crescita +1.26%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.73%52.21%52.84%61.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.851.802.1566.67%54.19%55.56%46.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rinky Hijikata (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.89%2.09quota equa
EV +17.32%
Vantaggio +7.07%
Kelly +11.95%
Crescita +2.07%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.44%47.79%47.16%55.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.941.912.4560.61%51.56%52.36%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -20.27%E -13.25%K -38.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +17.32%E +7.07%K +11.95%G +2.07%6.2%2026-03-17 21:05
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -21.83%E -14.55%K -43.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV +10.14%E +4.41%K +7.80%G +0.791%10.1%2026-03-17 21:05
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -11.93%E -7.06%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +5.35%E +2.43%K +4.46%G +0.238%4.6%2026-03-17 21:05
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -12.45%E -7.41%K -18.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +5.35%E +2.43%K +4.46%G +0.238%5.0%2026-03-17 21:05
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -16.10%E -10.00%K -26.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +5.35%E +2.43%K +4.46%G +0.238%7.6%2026-03-17 21:05
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -14.53%E -8.86%K -22.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV +2.95%E +1.37%K +2.57%G +0.076%7.5%2026-03-17 21:05
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -16.62%E -10.39%K -27.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV +2.95%E +1.37%K +2.57%G +0.076%9.0%2026-03-17 21:05
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -11.93%E -7.06%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV +0.560%E +0.267%K +0.510%G +0.003%6.8%2026-03-17 21:05
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -16.62%E -10.39%K -27.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV +0.560%E +0.267%K +0.510%G +0.003%10.1%2026-03-17 21:05
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.895%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 21:05
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.23%E -2.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 21:05
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.76%E -4.38%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.23%E -2.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.80%E -5.03%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.23%E -2.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 21:05
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.84%E -5.69%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.23%E -2.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 21:05
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 21:05
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.02%E -4.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 21:05
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -0.983%E -0.518%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -12.37%E -6.76%K -14.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 21:03
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV +5.27%E +2.61%K +5.17%G +0.272%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -13.81%E -7.67%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 20:58
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -15.24%E -8.61%K -19.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 21:05
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV +11.52%E +5.39%K +10.11%G +1.16%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -16.20%E -9.26%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 21:01
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +12.05%E +5.60%K +10.47%G +1.26%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -16.68%E -9.59%K -22.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 21:00
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +12.05%E +5.60%K +10.47%G +1.26%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -16.68%E -9.59%K -22.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 21:00
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +9.44%E +4.50%K +8.58%G +0.810%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -16.68%E -9.59%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 20:59
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +9.44%E +4.50%K +8.58%G +0.810%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -17.64%E -10.25%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 21:00
Unibet (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV +7.35%E +3.57%K +6.94%G +0.510%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -18.12%E -10.59%K -25.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 21:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV +4.23%E +2.11%K +4.23%G +0.179%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -18.12%E -10.59%K -25.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 20:59
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV +4.23%E +2.11%K +4.23%G +0.179%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -18.59%E -10.94%K -26.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 20:57
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV +6.83%E +3.33%K +6.51%G +0.445%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -20.03%E -11.99%K -29.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 20:52
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.33%EV +3.71%E +1.86%K +3.74%G +0.139%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -20.99%E -12.72%K -32.29%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-17 20:57
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-03-17 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-03-17 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%1.8%2026-03-17 21:05
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%2.2%2026-03-17 21:05
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.2%2026-03-17 21:05