The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Adam Walton v Chris Rodesch

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 00:43 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Adam Walton (Local)

Prediction 58.98%1.70fair odd
EV +9.12%
Edge +4.93%
Kelly +10.72%
Growth +0.978%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.32%58.11%59.21%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.611.581.8565.36%62.23%63.29%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chris Rodesch (Visit)

Prediction 41.02%2.44fair odd
EV +2.55%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.70%
Growth +0.043%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%41.89%40.79%48.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.282.352.5051.28%43.79%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Adam Walton (Local): 58.98%; Chris Rodesch (Visit): 41.02%. For Adam Walton (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.70. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +9.12%E +4.93%K +10.72%G +0.978%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -20.01%E -10.26%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 00:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV +2.04%E +1.18%K +2.79%G +0.057%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -15.91%E -7.76%K -15.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 00:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.50%E -0.899%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 00:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.50%E -0.899%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.86%E -6.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 00:40
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 00:40
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -15.91%E -7.76%K -15.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -6.22%E -3.91%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV +1.32%E +0.533%K +0.895%G +0.012%3.4%2026-03-17 00:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -6.22%E -3.91%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV +1.32%E +0.533%K +0.895%G +0.012%3.4%2026-03-17 00:15
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.81%E -4.31%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.56%E -0.648%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 00:15
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.99%E -5.12%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +2.55%E +1.02%K +1.70%G +0.043%4.1%2026-03-17 00:40
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.58%E -5.53%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.56%E -0.648%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 00:15
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.58%E -5.53%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 00:40
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.58%E -5.53%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 00:40
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -9.17%E -5.95%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.56%E -0.648%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 00:40
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.76%E -6.38%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.56%E -0.648%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 00:15
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.76%E -6.38%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.38%E -0.998%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 00:13
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.76%E -6.38%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -3.61%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 00:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-03-17 00:40