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Zsombor Piros v Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zsombor Piros (Local)
assuming max odds 1.53
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visit)
assuming max odds 3.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zsombor Piros (Local): 67.87%; Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visit): 32.13%. For Zsombor Piros (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.47. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.85%.
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV +3.85%E +2.51%K +7.26%G +0.279% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -16.79%E -6.48%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-20 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV +1.81%E +1.21%K +3.62%G +0.066% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -11.65%E -4.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-20 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV +1.81%E +1.21%K +3.62%G +0.066% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -11.65%E -4.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-20 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV +1.81%E +1.21%K +3.62%G +0.066% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -13.58%E -5.05%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-20 17:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -1.58%E -1.09%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -18.08%E -7.09%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 17:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.33%E -4.59%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.62%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.69%E -5.66%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.410%E -0.132%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.69%E -5.66%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.62%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.69%E -5.66%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.83%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -8.37%E -6.20%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.44%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -8.37%E -6.20%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.44%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -9.73%E -7.31%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -0.410%E -0.132%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.73%E -7.31%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -3.62%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |