L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Vilius Gaubas v Felix Auger-Aliassime
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Vilius Gaubas (Local)
Prévision 25.32%3.95cote équitable
EV +1.29%
Avantage +0.322%
Kelly +0.429%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.37%25.34%25.43%27.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.713.704.0028.99%26.96%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visiteur)
Prévision 74.68%1.34cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -7.00%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.63%74.66%74.57%76.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.261.261.3181.97%79.06%79.37%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +1.29%E +0.322%K +0.429%G +0.006% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.89%E -7.29%K -40.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 21:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -1.25%E -0.319%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.66%E -2.84%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| NordicBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.25%E -0.319%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.91%E -4.69%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:15 |
| Betsson | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.25%E -0.319%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.91%E -4.69%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:14 |
| Fanatics | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.25%E -0.319%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.91%E -4.69%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:15 |
| FanDuel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.25%E -0.319%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.91%E -4.69%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 22:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -3.27%E -0.856%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -5.16%E -4.06%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.78%E -0.994%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.91%E -4.69%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.78%E -0.994%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.65%E -5.32%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.78%E -0.994%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.89%E -7.29%K -40.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 22:50 |
| 1xBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -5.04%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -2.17%E -1.66%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.04%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.66%E -2.84%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.04%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.16%E -4.06%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.04%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.65%E -5.32%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 21:58 |
| GTbets | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.04%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.40%E -5.97%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| Everygame | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.04%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.89%E -7.29%K -40.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Bet Right | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| BetMGM | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.31%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.16%E -4.06%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.31%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.65%E -5.32%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.31%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.65%E -5.32%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.58%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.16%E -4.06%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.66%E -2.84%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.66%E -2.84%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 16:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.66%E -2.84%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.66%E -2.84%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.16%E -4.06%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| theScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.91%E -4.69%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 16:35 |
| Neds | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.91%E -4.69%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 02:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.91%E -4.69%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| TAB | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 00:39 |
| Bet Victor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.65%E -5.32%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.65%E -5.32%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| PlayUp | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.92%E -2.24%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 22:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.71% | 12.7% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 49.80% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 50.20% | 63.3% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 49.80% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 50.20% | 63.3% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 49.80% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 50.20% | 63.3% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.11I 90.09%NM 51.74% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 48.26% | 74.1% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |