Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 61.00
assuming max odds 1.05
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rinky Hijikata (Local): 5.45%; Chris Rodesch (Visit): 94.55%. For Rinky Hijikata (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 18.34. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 61.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +232.54%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 61.00I 1.64%NM 1.61%EV +232.54%E +3.81%K +3.88%G +9.01% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.39%EV -5.45%E -5.45%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-04-20 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 56.00I 1.79%NM 1.75%EV +205.28%E +3.67%K +3.73%G +7.66% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.25%EV -5.45%E -5.45%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-20 15:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +85.35%E +2.51%K +2.59%G +2.21% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.45%E -5.45%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-20 15:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 19.40I 5.15%NM 5.13%EV +5.76%E +0.297%K +0.313%G +0.018% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.87%EV -0.724%E -0.690%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 0.4% | 2026-04-20 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +3.58%E +0.188%K +0.199%G +0.007% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.45%E -5.45%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV -1.87%E -0.104%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -3.56%E -3.49%K -178.02%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-20 15:52 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -18.23%E -1.22%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.51%E -4.46%K -450.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-20 15:52 |
| Betsson🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -45.49%E -4.55%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.51%E -4.46%K -450.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 15:52 |
| Fliff🎯 | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.17%EV -50.39%E -5.54%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.83%EV -2.61%E -2.54%K -87.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-20 15:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.53%EV -52.30%E -5.98%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.47%EV -2.61%E -2.54%K -87.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-20 15:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19% | 4.0% | 2026-04-20 15:53 |