Language:English
Rei Sakamoto v Vilius Gaubas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rei Sakamoto (Local)
assuming max odds 1.87
Vilius Gaubas (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rei Sakamoto (Local): 51.47%; Vilius Gaubas (Visit): 48.53%. For Vilius Gaubas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.90%E -5.03%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.92%E +0.912%K +1.74%G +0.033% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.90%E -5.03%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.92%E +0.912%K +1.74%G +0.033% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 09:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -6.84%E -3.78%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -0.026%E -0.012%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 09:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 09:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.78%E -2.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.39%E -2.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 09:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.93%E -5.67%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 08:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.93%E -5.67%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.93%E -5.67%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 09:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.31%E -3.82%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 09:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.75%E -2.01%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.79%E -4.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -2.01%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.25%E -4.94%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 09:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -2.01%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.25%E -4.94%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 09:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -9.25%E -4.94%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 09:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.22%E -5.52%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 09:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.22%E -5.52%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 09:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55% | 2.6% | 2026-04-21 09:10 |