Language:English
Patrick Kypson v Stefanos Tsitsipas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Patrick Kypson (Local)
Prediction 30.34%3.30fair odd
EV -0.479%
Edge -0.146%
Kelly -0.210%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.00%30.42%30.40%32.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.123.153.2834.72%32.07%31.80%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visit)
Prediction 69.66%1.44fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -6.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.92%69.58%69.60%71.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.47%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Patrick Kypson (Local): 30.34%; Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visit): 69.66%. For Patrick Kypson (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.28, with an expected value of -0.479%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -0.479%E -0.146%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -1.09%E -0.333%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 12:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.39%E -0.427%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.57%E -3.33%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.39%E -0.427%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 12:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.39%E -0.427%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%EV -2.00%E -0.618%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.22%EV -4.57%E -3.33%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-23 12:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.91%E -0.908%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.91%E -0.908%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.35%EV -3.21%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.65%EV -3.18%E -2.28%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 12:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.57%E -3.33%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 12:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.57%E -3.33%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.57%E -3.33%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.57%E -3.33%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.42%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.73%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.73%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 12:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -5.64%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -4.57%E -3.33%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.57%E -3.33%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -8.06%E -2.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -3.18%E -2.28%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 12:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 12:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -12.62%E -4.38%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 12:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Novig◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55% | 2.0% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |