Language:English
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer v Francesco Maestrelli
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Local)
assuming max odds 2.30
Francesco Maestrelli (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.46
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Local): 46.15%; Francesco Maestrelli (Visit): 53.85%. For Francesco Maestrelli (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.46, corresponding to a positive expected value of +32.47%.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -26.62%E -16.74%K -45.12%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV +32.47%E +13.20%K +22.24%G +7.22% | 3.5% | 2026-04-20 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -26.16%E -16.35%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV +31.39%E +12.87%K +21.80%G +6.84% | 3.5% | 2026-04-20 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -26.16%E -16.35%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV +31.39%E +12.87%K +21.80%G +6.84% | 3.5% | 2026-04-20 17:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.95%EV -25.70%E -15.96%K -42.13%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.05%EV +29.78%E +12.36%K +21.12%G +6.29% | 3.6% | 2026-04-20 17:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -28.47%E -18.37%K -51.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +23.85%E +10.37%K +18.35%G +4.38% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -0.776%E -0.361%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.07%E -6.03%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 17:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -11.15%E -6.76%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-20 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +3.84%E +1.71%K +3.07%G +0.118% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -12.23%E -7.50%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 17:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +1.53%E +0.696%K +1.28%G +0.020% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -12.76%E -7.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -0.776%E -0.361%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -13.84%E -8.65%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 17:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -0.776%E -0.361%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -13.84%E -8.65%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +6.15%E +2.67%K +4.73%G +0.291% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -15.46%E -9.84%K -27.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +6.15%E +2.67%K +4.73%G +0.291% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -15.46%E -9.84%K -27.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +6.15%E +2.67%K +4.73%G +0.291% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -16.53%E -10.67%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 17:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.10% | 5.6% | 2026-04-20 17:50 |