Language:English
Moez Echargui v Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Moez Echargui (Local)
assuming max odds 7.00
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.32
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Moez Echargui (Local): 19.72%; Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Visit): 80.28%. For Moez Echargui (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.07. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +38.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +38.01%E +5.43%K +6.34%G +2.41% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -11.69%E -10.62%K -116.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +18.30%E +3.05%K +3.66%G +0.669% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -10.08%E -9.00%K -84.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +8.44%E +1.53%K +1.87%G +0.158% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -9.28%E -8.21%K -71.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV +6.47%E +1.20%K +1.47%G +0.095% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -9.28%E -8.21%K -71.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +3.51%E +0.668%K +0.825%G +0.029% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.48%E -7.44%K -60.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +3.51%E +0.668%K +0.825%G +0.029% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -10.08%E -9.00%K -84.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +2.52%E +0.485%K +0.601%G +0.015% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -10.08%E -9.00%K -84.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.42%E -0.284%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.48%E -7.44%K -60.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 14:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.95%EV -26.85%E -7.24%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.05%EV +4.37%E +3.36%K +14.56%G +0.636% | 3.9% | 2026-04-21 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -31.98%E -9.27%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV +4.37%E +3.36%K +14.56%G +0.636% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 07:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -32.18%E -9.35%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV +5.98%E +4.53%K +18.67%G +1.12% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -32.18%E -9.35%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV +5.98%E +4.53%K +18.67%G +1.12% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 14:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -34.94%E -10.59%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV +2.76%E +2.16%K +9.87%G +0.273% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 11:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -35.92%E -11.05%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%EV -0.448%E -0.361%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-21 14:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-04-21 14:50 |