The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Marco Trungelliti v Borna Gojo

Kickoff: 2026-04-20 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marco Trungelliti (Local)

Prediction 64.87%1.54fair odd
EV +9.64%
Edge +5.70%
Kelly +13.96%
Growth +1.35%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.00%63.58%65.85%66.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.401.6971.43%68.43%71.43%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Borna Gojo (Visit)

Prediction 35.13%2.85fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%36.42%34.15%43.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.592.702.7544.64%38.57%37.04%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marco Trungelliti (Local): 64.87%; Borna Gojo (Visit): 35.13%. For Marco Trungelliti (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.69, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV +9.64%E +5.70%K +13.96%G +1.35%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -21.32%E -9.52%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-20 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.18%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 11:54
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -15.69%E -6.54%K -11.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 11:54
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.18%E -6.56%K -22.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 11:54
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.18%E -6.56%K -22.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 11:54
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.18%E -6.56%K -22.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.18%E -6.56%K -22.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.18%E -6.56%K -22.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.16%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 11:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-04-20 11:55