The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Luca Van Assche v Diego Dedura-Palomero

Kickoff: 2026-04-20 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Luca Van Assche (Local)

Prediction 14.21%7.04fair odd
EV +35.03%
Edge +3.69%
Kelly +4.12%
Growth +1.44%

assuming max odds 9.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.70%14.83%13.97%22.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.366.666.759.5022.94%15.02%14.81%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Diego Dedura-Palomero (Visit)

Prediction 85.79%1.17fair odd
EV +8.09%
Edge +6.42%
Kelly +31.12%
Growth +2.52%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.58%85.17%86.03%90.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.101.101.2698.04%90.99%91.32%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Luca Van Assche (Local): 14.21%; Diego Dedura-Palomero (Visit): 85.79%. For Luca Van Assche (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.04. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +35.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯4.36I 22.94%NM 22.42%EV -38.03%E -8.72%K -11.32%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.58%EV +8.09%E +6.42%K +31.12%G +2.52%2.3%2026-04-20 13:40
theScore Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -23.25%E -4.31%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -3.06%E -2.71%K -23.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.83%E -3.97%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.92%E -3.50%K -32.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 13:50
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.83%E -3.97%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.92%E -3.50%K -32.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 13:50
BoyleSports🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.61%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.63%E -5.12%K -56.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 13:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -0.505%E -0.072%K -0.084%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.49%E -5.96%K -72.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 13:50
Fliff🎯7.05I 14.18%NM 13.07%EV +0.205%E +0.029%K +0.034%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.93%EV -9.07%E -8.55%K -151.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 13:50
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +13.71%E +1.71%K +1.96%G +0.268%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -9.92%E -9.45%K -198.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 13:50
NordicBet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.83%EV +10.15%E +1.31%K +1.50%G +0.153%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.17%EV -10.78%E -10.37%K -269.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 13:50
Betsson🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +35.03%E +3.69%K +4.12%G +1.44%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -12.50%E -12.25%K -624.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%0.7%2026-04-20 13:50