The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Lloyd Harris v Mackenzie McDonald

Kickoff: 2026-04-20 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lloyd Harris (Local)

Prediction 77.56%1.29fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -12.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.23%77.07%78.18%78.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.211.201.2584.75%82.73%83.33%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mackenzie McDonald (Visit)

Prediction 22.44%4.46fair odd
EV +1.19%
Edge +0.264%
Kelly +0.340%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 4.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.57%22.93%21.82%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.134.284.5127.78%24.19%23.39%22.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lloyd Harris (Local): 77.56%; Mackenzie McDonald (Visit): 22.44%. For Mackenzie McDonald (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.43%EV -3.82%E -3.08%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.57%EV +1.19%E +0.264%K +0.340%G +0.004%2.8%2026-04-20 11:55
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.92%E -5.77%K -34.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.85%E -0.657%K -0.855%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 11:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.92%E -5.77%K -34.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.85%E -0.657%K -0.855%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.92%E -5.77%K -34.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.52%E -0.819%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 11:54
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -8.48%E -7.18%K -47.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 11:54
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -6.92%E -5.77%K -34.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:54
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -6.92%E -5.77%K -34.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -13.62%E -3.54%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 11:55
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -3.05%E -2.44%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -19.23%E -5.34%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 11:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-20 11:55