L’École des cotes

Jaume Munar v Alexander Shevchenko

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 10:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jaume Munar (Local)

Prévision 65.86%1.52cote équitable
EV -0.550%
Avantage -0.364%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.32%65.87%65.91%68.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.441.441.5172.46%69.49%69.44%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexander Shevchenko (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.14%2.93cote équitable
EV +2.42%
Avantage +0.806%
Kelly +1.21%
Croissance +0.029%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.51%34.13%34.09%35.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.762.753.0038.46%36.24%36.36%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -9.11%E -6.60%K -23.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +2.42%E +0.806%K +1.21%G +0.029%5.8%2026-04-23 10:45
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.996%E -0.343%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 10:44
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -1.34%E -0.463%K -0.708%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-23 10:45
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.70%E -0.948%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 10:44
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.70%E -0.948%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 10:45
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.70%E -0.948%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 10:43
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 10:45
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 10:44
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -3.39%E -1.20%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 10:45
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 10:44
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 10:45
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:44
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:44
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.48%E -4.56%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 10:44
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.48%E -4.56%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 10:44
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 10:44
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.43%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 10:44
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 10:44
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:45
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:45
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:44
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:44
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:45
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:44
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:44
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:44
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.48%E -4.56%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 10:45
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 10:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 10:44
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 10:44
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -0.550%E -0.364%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -6.80%E -2.49%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 10:44
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 10:44
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:44
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:44
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:44
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:45
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.48%E -4.56%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 10:45
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:45
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 10:44
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.48%E -4.56%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 10:44
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 10:43
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 10:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-04-23 10:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-04-23 10:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-04-23 10:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-04-23 10:44
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96%1.5%2026-04-23 10:45
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%2.1%2026-04-23 10:45