La escuela de los momios

Jaume Munar v Alexander Shevchenko

Inicio: 2026-04-23 10:50 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jaume Munar (Local)

Predicción 65.86%1.52momio equitativo
EV -0.550%
Ventaja -0.364%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.32%65.87%65.91%68.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.441.441.5172.46%69.49%69.44%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alexander Shevchenko (Visitante)

Predicción 34.14%2.93momio equitativo
EV +2.42%
Ventaja +0.806%
Kelly +1.21%
Crecimiento +0.029%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.51%34.13%34.09%35.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.762.753.0038.46%36.24%36.36%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -9.11%E -6.60%K -23.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +2.42%E +0.806%K +1.21%G +0.029%5.8%2026-04-23 10:45
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.996%E -0.343%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 10:44
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -1.34%E -0.463%K -0.708%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-23 10:45
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.70%E -0.948%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 10:44
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.70%E -0.948%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 10:45
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.70%E -0.948%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 10:43
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 10:45
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 10:44
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -3.39%E -1.20%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 10:45
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 10:44
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 10:45
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:44
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:44
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.48%E -4.56%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 10:44
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.48%E -4.56%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 10:44
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.41%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 10:44
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.43%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 10:44
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 10:44
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:45
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:44
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:45
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:44
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:44
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:45
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:44
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:44
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:44
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.48%E -4.56%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 10:45
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 10:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 10:44
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 10:44
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -0.550%E -0.364%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -6.80%E -2.49%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 10:44
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 10:44
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:44
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:44
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:44
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:45
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.48%E -4.56%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 10:45
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.18%E -2.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:45
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 10:44
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.48%E -4.56%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 10:44
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 10:43
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -7.79%E -5.57%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 10:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-04-23 10:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-04-23 10:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-04-23 10:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-04-23 10:44
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96%1.5%2026-04-23 10:45
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%2.1%2026-04-23 10:45