Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jaime Faria v Hubert Hurkacz

Início: 2026-04-22 15:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jaime Faria (Local)

Previsão 30.08%3.32odd justa
EV -0.421%
Vantagem -0.127%
Kelly -0.182%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.89%30.05%30.16%31.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.133.153.3133.90%31.98%31.75%30.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante)

Previsão 69.92%1.43odd justa
EV -2.82%
Vantagem -2.03%
Kelly -7.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.81%69.95%69.84%71.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.351.361.3976.92%73.94%73.53%71.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jaime Faria (Local): 30.08%; Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante): 69.92%. Para Jaime Faria (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.32. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.31, com valor esperado de -0.421%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -0.421%E -0.127%K -0.182%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -4.22%E -3.08%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 15:01
SportsBet🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 29.09%EV -1.02%E -0.311%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.91%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 15:00
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.23%E -0.685%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.52%E -2.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 14:44
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.23%E -0.685%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.52%E -2.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.23%E -0.685%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 14:44
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.23%E -0.685%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 14:45
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.23%E -0.685%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.01%E -5.27%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 14:44
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.73%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 14:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.73%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 14:44
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.73%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 15:10
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.73%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.73%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.31%E -4.71%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 15:04
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.73%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.11%E -7.01%K -30.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 14:44
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.35%EV -4.03%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.65%EV -2.82%E -2.03%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 14:44
Unibet (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.22%E -3.08%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 14:43
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 14:45
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 14:45
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 14:44
Fanatics🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 14:44
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 14:44
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 14:45
Bally Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 14:44
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 14:44
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 15:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.74%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 14:45
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.74%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 14:45
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.74%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 14:44
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.74%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 14:44
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.74%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 14:45
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.74%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 14:45
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.74%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 15:09
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.74%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 15:10
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.74%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.31%E -4.71%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 14:45
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.24%E -2.70%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 15:09
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.24%E -2.70%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 14:44
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.24%E -2.70%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 14:44
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.24%E -2.70%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -7.01%E -5.27%K -21.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 15:10
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 14:40
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 14:45
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 14:44
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.01%E -5.27%K -21.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 14:45
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.01%E -5.27%K -21.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 14:43
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.71%E -5.84%K -24.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 15:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -11.25%E -3.81%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -9.11%E -7.01%K -30.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-22 15:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-22 15:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-22 15:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-04-22 15:04
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%2.9%2026-04-22 15:09
Novig3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%4.4%2026-04-22 15:09