Langue:Français
Jaime Faria v Hubert Hurkacz
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jaime Faria (Local)
Prévision 30.08%3.32cote équitable
EV -0.421%
Avantage -0.127%
Kelly -0.182%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.89%30.05%30.16%31.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.133.153.3133.90%31.98%31.75%30.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Hubert Hurkacz (Visiteur)
Prévision 69.92%1.43cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -2.03%
Kelly -7.22%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.39
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.81%69.95%69.84%71.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.301.351.361.3976.92%73.94%73.53%71.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jaime Faria (Local) : 30.08% ; Hubert Hurkacz (Visiteur) : 69.92%. Pour Jaime Faria (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.32. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.31, pour une espérance de -0.421% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -0.421%E -0.127%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -4.22%E -3.08%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-22 15:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.09%EV -1.02%E -0.311%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.91%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.23%E -0.685%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.52%E -2.55%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.23%E -0.685%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.52%E -2.55%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.23%E -0.685%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.23%E -0.685%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.23%E -0.685%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.01%E -5.27%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.73%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.73%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.73%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.73%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.73%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.31%E -4.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 15:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.73%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.11%E -7.01%K -30.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.35%EV -4.03%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.65%EV -2.82%E -2.03%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.22%E -3.08%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 14:43 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 15:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.74%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.74%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.74%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.74%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.74%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.74%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.74%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.74%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 15:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.74%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.31%E -4.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.24%E -2.70%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.24%E -2.70%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.24%E -2.70%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.24%E -2.70%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -7.01%E -5.27%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 15:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 14:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.61%E -4.16%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.01%E -5.27%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.01%E -5.27%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 14:43 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.71%E -5.84%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -11.25%E -3.81%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -9.11%E -7.01%K -30.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-04-22 15:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| Novig◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97% | 4.4% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |