The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Elmer Moller v Hugo Gaston

Kickoff: 2026-04-20 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elmer Moller (Local)

Prediction 36.55%2.74fair odd
EV -4.61%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.80%36.75%36.48%38.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.522.522.6141.67%39.65%39.68%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hugo Gaston (Visit)

Prediction 63.45%1.58fair odd
EV -0.379%
Edge -0.241%
Kelly -0.665%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.52%63.25%63.52%64.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.501.5769.44%66.73%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elmer Moller (Local): 36.55%; Hugo Gaston (Visit): 63.45%. For Hugo Gaston (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.57, with an expected value of -0.379%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.96%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.04%EV -2.92%E -1.91%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-20 08:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.98%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 08:44
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.98%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 08:44
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 09:10
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -7.36%E -5.04%K -16.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 08:45
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -7.36%E -5.04%K -16.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 08:45
GTbets🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -7.54%E -2.98%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.55%E -2.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -8.27%E -3.29%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -0.379%E -0.241%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-20 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -8.27%E -3.29%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -0.379%E -0.241%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-20 08:44
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.55%E -2.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 08:44
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.63%E -5.99%K -19.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 08:45
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 18:05
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 08:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%2.2%2026-04-20 09:40