A Escola das Odds

Dusan Lajovic v Arthur Rinderknech

Início: 2026-04-24 10:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Dusan Lajovic (Local)

Previsão 40.63%2.46odd justa
EV -0.459%
Vantagem -0.188%
Kelly -0.317%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.90%40.50%40.58%41.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.362.382.4544.44%42.36%42.02%40.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante)

Previsão 59.37%1.68odd justa
EV -2.04%
Vantagem -1.23%
Kelly -3.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.14%59.50%59.42%61.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.521.581.581.6565.79%63.14%63.29%60.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.459%E -0.188%K -0.317%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:00
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.41%E -2.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 21:49
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:45
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:45
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:45
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:45
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:44
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:44
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:45
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:45
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:45
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:44
Bally Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:45
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:44
GTbets2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -1.68%E -0.694%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 11:00
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.22%E -1.98%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 21:44
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.22%E -1.98%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.82%E -2.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 21:20
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.60%E -3.52%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 21:20
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.97%E -5.14%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 22:45
DraftKings2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.60%E -3.52%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 15:50
SportsBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -6.19%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:20
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.79%E -4.32%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 01:00
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.79%E -4.32%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 01:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.79%E -4.32%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 01:00
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.79%E -4.32%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 01:09
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.79%E -4.32%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 21:24
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -8.57%E -5.56%K -15.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:45
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -8.57%E -5.56%K -15.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:44
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 02:10
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 02:09
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.82%E -2.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 21:20
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.41%E -2.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 22:10
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:10
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:19
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:25
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:19
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.76%E -6.42%K -18.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 22:30
Bet Right2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.93%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:20
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.60%E -3.52%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:21
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.82%E -2.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 06:00
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.41%E -2.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:29
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 20:35
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:19
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 20:24
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.60%E -3.52%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 00:04
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.60%E -3.52%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 21:20
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.60%E -3.52%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 10:45
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.19%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 00:24
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.97%E -5.14%K -14.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 22:25
BetUS2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.37%E -3.23%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.22%E -1.98%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.82%E -2.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 22:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.19%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 20:29
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.19%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 20:30
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.79%E -4.32%K -11.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 20:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.79%E -4.32%K -11.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 20:29
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.79%E -4.32%K -11.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:43
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-04-24 03:15
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-24 03:25
Novig2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-04-24 03:10
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.3%2026-04-24 03:15