Idioma:Español
Dusan Lajovic v Arthur Rinderknech
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dusan Lajovic (Local)
Predicción 40.63%2.46momio equitativo
EV -0.459%
Ventaja -0.188%
Kelly -0.317%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.90%40.50%40.58%41.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.362.382.4544.44%42.36%42.02%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante)
Predicción 59.37%1.68momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -3.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%59.50%59.42%61.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.521.581.581.6565.79%63.14%63.29%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Dusan Lajovic (Local): 40.63%; Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante): 59.37%. Para Dusan Lajovic (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.46. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.45, con un valor esperado de -0.459%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.459%E -0.188%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.41%E -2.74%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 22:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 22:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 22:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 22:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 22:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.27%E -0.523%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.38%E -4.73%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 22:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -1.68%E -0.694%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.22%E -1.98%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 21:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.22%E -1.98%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.82%E -2.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 21:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.60%E -3.52%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 21:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.49%E -1.04%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.97%E -5.14%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.60%E -3.52%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -6.19%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.79%E -4.32%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 01:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.79%E -4.32%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 01:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.79%E -4.32%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 01:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.79%E -4.32%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 01:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.79%E -4.32%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -8.57%E -5.56%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -3.30%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -8.57%E -5.56%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 22:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 02:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.82%E -2.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 21:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.41%E -2.74%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.76%E -6.42%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 22:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.93%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -5.74%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.60%E -3.52%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 21:21 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.82%E -2.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 06:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.41%E -2.74%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 21:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.60%E -3.52%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-24 00:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.60%E -3.52%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 21:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.60%E -3.52%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.19%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-24 00:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.55%E -2.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.97%E -5.14%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.37%E -3.23%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.22%E -1.98%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.82%E -2.36%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.19%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 20:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.19%E -3.92%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.79%E -4.32%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 20:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.79%E -4.32%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 20:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.59%E -3.82%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.79%E -4.32%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 21:43 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.3% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |