La scuola delle quote

Dino Prizmic v Matteo Berrettini

Inizio: 2026-04-22 11:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Dino Prizmic (Casa)

Previsione 42.56%2.35quota equa
EV -1.25%
Vantaggio -0.540%
Kelly -0.950%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.12%42.78%42.45%45.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.202.202.3248.78%45.54%45.45%43.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Matteo Berrettini (Trasferta)

Previsione 57.44%1.74quota equa
EV -0.060%
Vantaggio -0.034%
Kelly -0.081%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.83%57.22%57.55%58.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.671.671.7462.50%60.00%59.88%57.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -1.25%E -0.540%K -0.950%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.95%E -4.29%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 11:25
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.11%E -0.915%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.65%E -2.80%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-22 11:25
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.11%E -0.915%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.95%E -4.29%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:25
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.11%E -0.915%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.95%E -4.29%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 05:40
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.11%E -0.915%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.95%E -4.29%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:25
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -3.38%E -1.49%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -2.93%E -1.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 10:30
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -1.78%E -1.04%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 11:24
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 11:24
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:25
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:25
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:24
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 09:34
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:25
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.38%E -3.91%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 11:25
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -4.66%E -2.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.93%E -1.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 09:35
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -4.66%E -2.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.93%E -1.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 09:35
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -5.08%E -2.28%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -1.21%E -0.703%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-22 11:24
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:24
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:24
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:25
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:25
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:24
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:25
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:25
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:25
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:24
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:25
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:25
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:25
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:25
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:24
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 10:15
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.80%E -3.54%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 11:24
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.53%E -4.67%K -12.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 11:24
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.10%E -5.06%K -13.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 09:49
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.06%E -3.73%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 11:24
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.06%E -3.73%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 11:24
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 09:35
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.80%E -3.54%K -9.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 11:25
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.95%E -4.29%K -11.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 09:34
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.10%E -5.06%K -13.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 11:24
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.92%E -4.17%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.21%E -0.703%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 11:24
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -9.77%E -4.61%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -0.060%E -0.034%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 11:09
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.62%E -5.06%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.634%E -0.366%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 07:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.62%E -5.06%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.634%E -0.366%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 07:34
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.62%E -5.06%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.634%E -0.366%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 07:15
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.62%E -5.06%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.634%E -0.366%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 07:15
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.62%E -5.06%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.36%E -1.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 11:24
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -10.62%E -5.06%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -2.93%E -1.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 08:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -12.75%E -6.22%K -12.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 08:14
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -12.75%E -6.22%K -12.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 08:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-22 11:10
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-04-22 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-04-22 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-04-22 11:25
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-04-22 11:25
Novig2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%2.7%2026-04-22 11:24