L’École des cotes

Dino Prizmic v Matteo Berrettini

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 11:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dino Prizmic (Local)

Prévision 42.56%2.35cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -0.540%
Kelly -0.950%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.12%42.78%42.45%45.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.202.202.3248.78%45.54%45.45%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Matteo Berrettini (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.44%1.74cote équitable
EV -0.060%
Avantage -0.034%
Kelly -0.081%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.83%57.22%57.55%58.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.671.671.7462.50%60.00%59.88%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -1.25%E -0.540%K -0.950%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.95%E -4.29%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 11:25
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.11%E -0.915%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.65%E -2.80%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-22 11:25
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.11%E -0.915%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.95%E -4.29%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:25
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.11%E -0.915%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.95%E -4.29%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 05:40
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.11%E -0.915%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.95%E -4.29%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:25
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -3.38%E -1.49%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -2.93%E -1.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 10:30
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -1.78%E -1.04%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 11:24
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 11:24
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:25
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:25
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:24
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 09:34
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:25
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.38%E -3.91%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 11:25
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -4.66%E -2.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.93%E -1.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 09:35
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -4.66%E -2.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.93%E -1.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 09:35
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -5.08%E -2.28%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -1.21%E -0.703%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-22 11:24
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:24
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:24
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:25
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:25
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:24
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:25
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:25
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:25
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:24
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:25
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:25
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:25
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:25
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:24
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 10:15
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.80%E -3.54%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 11:24
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.53%E -4.67%K -12.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 11:24
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.10%E -5.06%K -13.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 09:49
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.06%E -3.73%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 11:24
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.06%E -3.73%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 11:24
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 09:35
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.80%E -3.54%K -9.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 11:25
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.95%E -4.29%K -11.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 09:34
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.10%E -5.06%K -13.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 11:24
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.92%E -4.17%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.21%E -0.703%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 11:24
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -9.77%E -4.61%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -0.060%E -0.034%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 11:09
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.62%E -5.06%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.634%E -0.366%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 07:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.62%E -5.06%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.634%E -0.366%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 07:34
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.62%E -5.06%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.634%E -0.366%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 07:15
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.62%E -5.06%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.634%E -0.366%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 07:15
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.62%E -5.06%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.36%E -1.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 11:24
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -10.62%E -5.06%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -2.93%E -1.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 08:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -12.75%E -6.22%K -12.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 08:14
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -12.75%E -6.22%K -12.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 08:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-22 11:10
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-04-22 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-04-22 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-04-22 11:25
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-04-22 11:25
Novig2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%2.7%2026-04-22 11:24