Language:English
Cristian Garin v Nicolas Jarry
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cristian Garin (Local)
assuming max odds 1.44
Nicolas Jarry (Visit)
assuming max odds 3.04
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cristian Garin (Local): 67.26%; Nicolas Jarry (Visit): 32.74%. For Nicolas Jarry (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.04, with an expected value of -0.463%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.15%E -2.19%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.96%E -3.62%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 08:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.01%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.99%EV -0.463%E -0.152%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-20 07:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -13.23%E -4.99%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-20 07:52 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.49%E -3.17%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 08:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.49%E -3.17%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.41%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 08:02 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -5.17%E -3.66%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -1.12%E -0.370%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-20 08:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-20 07:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-20 07:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.32%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 07:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.32%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 07:53 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.51%E -4.69%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.68%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-20 07:52 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -7.86%E -5.74%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.68%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-20 07:51 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -7.86%E -5.74%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.68%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-20 07:51 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 07:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.55%E -7.93%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -1.77%E -0.591%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-20 08:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 3.2% | 2026-04-20 07:52 |