Language:English
Chris Rodesch v Dusan Lajovic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chris Rodesch (Local)
assuming max odds 2.16
Dusan Lajovic (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.91
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chris Rodesch (Local): 47.28%; Dusan Lajovic (Visit): 52.72%. For Chris Rodesch (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +2.13%E +0.987%K +1.84%G +0.039% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -8.27%E -4.75%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 13:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +2.13%E +0.987%K +1.84%G +0.039% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -8.27%E -4.75%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 12:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +2.13%E +0.987%K +1.84%G +0.039% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -8.27%E -4.75%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 13:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.07%E -1.50%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.16%E -3.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 13:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.07%E -1.50%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.75%E -4.43%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 13:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.43%E -2.72%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.38%E -6.11%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 13:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.80%E -4.00%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.47%E -1.34%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.80%E -4.00%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 13:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.80%E -4.00%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 13:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.69%E -5.07%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 13:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -9.69%E -5.07%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -6.69%E -3.78%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.16%E -5.35%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 13:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.63%EV -10.16%E -5.35%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -12.49%E -7.52%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-21 13:07 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.89%E -8.27%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +0.689%E +0.361%K +0.757%G +0.005% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 13:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.89%E -8.27%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +0.689%E +0.361%K +0.757%G +0.005% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 13:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 0.8% | 2026-04-21 13:25 |