Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.15
assuming max odds 1.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brandon Nakashima (Local): 46.01%; Alexander Blockx (Visit): 53.99%. For Brandon Nakashima (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -1.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -1.09%E -0.505%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.09%E -0.505%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-24 01:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.09%E -0.505%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -2.01%E -0.942%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -2.01%E -0.942%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 01:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.13%E -4.15%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -10.91%E -6.61%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.85%E -1.84%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 01:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -4.77%E -2.30%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 00:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-24 01:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.15%E -3.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -6.61%E -3.25%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.13%E -4.15%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -10.75%E -5.54%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.89%EV -10.37%E -6.25%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.52%EV -11.67%E -6.08%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -9.83%E -5.89%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 0.9% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84% | 2.9% | 2026-04-24 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84% | 2.9% | 2026-04-24 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84% | 2.9% | 2026-04-24 01:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 49.76% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 50.24% | 89.6% | 2026-04-23 13:50 |