Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.42
assuming max odds 1.69
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Botic van de Zandschulp (Local): 41.55%; Alexander Blockx (Visit): 58.45%. For Botic van de Zandschulp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.543%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +0.543%E +0.225%K +0.383%G +0.002% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-22 09:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -0.288%E -0.120%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.288%E -0.120%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-22 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.288%E -0.120%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-22 16:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -1.53%E -0.647%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -7.06%E -4.44%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 23:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -1.95%E -0.826%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.55%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 12:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -1.95%E -0.826%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -6.47%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.61%E -1.56%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 10:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.61%E -1.56%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 12:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -2.97%E -1.79%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-22 11:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.55%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-22 10:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.47%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 08:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.47%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.06%E -4.44%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 12:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.64%E -4.84%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.40%E -6.06%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 10:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 09:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 11:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 23:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -8.18%E -3.70%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -3.55%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -1.21%E -0.718%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 20:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.80%E -1.07%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 20:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.80%E -1.07%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.80%E -1.07%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 20:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.80%E -1.07%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.80%E -1.07%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 20:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.80%E -1.07%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 20:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.80%E -1.07%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 20:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.80%E -1.07%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 20:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.80%E -1.07%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 20:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.80%E -1.07%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 20:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.80%E -1.07%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 20:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.80%E -1.07%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 20:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.80%E -1.07%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 20:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.38%E -1.43%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 06:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.38%E -1.43%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 12:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 12:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.47%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.47%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 09:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.47%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -10.26%E -4.75%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -3.55%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 20:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -10.26%E -4.75%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -3.55%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 20:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -11.09%E -5.18%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 20:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.3% | 2026-04-22 12:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.3% | 2026-04-22 12:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.3% | 2026-04-22 12:33 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.3% | 2026-04-22 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25% | 3.1% | 2026-04-22 12:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 12:24 |