L’École des cotes

Benjamin Bonzi v Titouan Droguet

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Benjamin Bonzi (Local)

Prévision 24.18%4.14cote équitable
EV +16.05%
Avantage +3.34%
Kelly +4.22%
Croissance +0.677%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.60%24.02%24.30%29.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.913.804.8031.25%25.55%26.32%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Titouan Droguet (Visiteur)

Prévision 75.82%1.32cote équitable
EV +2.36%
Avantage +1.75%
Kelly +6.75%
Croissance +0.159%

avec la cote maximale 1.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.33%75.98%75.70%80.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.241.241.3587.72%80.90%80.65%74.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +16.05%E +3.34%K +4.22%G +0.677%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -11.29%E -9.65%K -66.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 16:53
Betclic (FR)4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV +12.42%E +2.67%K +3.40%G +0.423%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.31%EV -13.56%E -11.90%K -96.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 16:53
TAB4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV +11.21%E +2.44%K +3.11%G +0.349%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -12.04%E -10.38%K -75.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 16:54
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +8.79%E +1.95%K +2.51%G +0.221%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.25%E -6.82%K -39.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 16:54
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +8.79%E +1.95%K +2.51%G +0.221%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.53%E -8.92%K -58.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.68%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.066%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -9.01%E -7.51%K -45.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:54
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.68%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.066%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -9.01%E -7.51%K -45.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:55
DraftKings4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +0.331%E +0.080%K +0.105%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 16:54
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV +0.331%E +0.080%K +0.105%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 16:55
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV +0.331%E +0.080%K +0.105%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 16:55
Unibet (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.878%E -0.214%K -0.283%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 16:54
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.824%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 16:55
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.30%E -0.824%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 16:54
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.50%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:54
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.50%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:55
Svenska Spel3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.50%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:55
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.50%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:54
Pinnacle3.93I 25.45%NM 24.71%EV -4.99%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.29%EV -2.19%E -1.70%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-22 16:50
Fliff3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -6.92%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -8.25%E -6.82%K -39.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 16:54
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 16:54
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 16:54
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 16:55
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 16:54
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 16:54
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:54
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 16:54
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 16:54
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 16:55
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 16:54
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.74%E -5.48%K -29.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 16:54
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 16:55
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -8.25%E -6.82%K -39.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 16:54
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -11.29%E -9.65%K -66.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 16:55
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 16:54
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.01%E -7.51%K -45.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 16:54
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -14.18%E -3.99%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -1.43%E -1.10%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:55
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -14.18%E -3.99%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -1.43%E -1.10%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:55
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -14.18%E -3.99%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -1.43%E -1.10%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:55
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -17.80%E -5.24%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -2.19%E -1.70%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -19.01%E -5.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 16:55
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -22.64%E -7.07%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV +2.36%E +1.75%K +6.75%G +0.159%5.3%2026-04-22 16:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-04-22 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-04-22 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-04-22 16:54
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%2.1%2026-04-22 16:54
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%3.4%2026-04-22 16:54
Novig4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%4.7%2026-04-22 16:54