L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Alexander Bublik v Stefanos Tsitsipas
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alexander Bublik (Local)
Prévision 56.96%1.76cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -0.840%
Kelly -1.99%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.73
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.67%57.21%57.03%61.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.661.691.7365.79%60.10%59.17%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.04%2.32cote équitable
EV +4.15%
Avantage +1.71%
Kelly +2.92%
Croissance +0.121%
avec la cote maximale 2.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.58%42.79%42.97%45.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.182.152.4248.78%45.82%46.51%41.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -10.00%E -6.33%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV +4.15%E +1.71%K +2.92%G +0.121% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 21:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -13.42%E -8.83%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV +4.15%E +1.71%K +2.92%G +0.121% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 21:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.57%E -6.73%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.29%E +1.37%K +2.35%G +0.077% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 21:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -11.14%E -7.14%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +1.14%E +0.483%K +0.841%G +0.010% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -1.02%E -0.442%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.86%E -5.54%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.02%E -0.442%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -7.15%E -4.39%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -1.45%E -0.632%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.88%E -0.823%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.02%E -1.18%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -4.03%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.58%E -4.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.29%E -5.15%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.32%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 23:48 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 02:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 22:08 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.72%E -4.76%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.47%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.95%EV -8.33%E -3.91%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| GTbets | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -1.45%E -0.840%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -8.76%E -4.13%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 21:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.76%E -4.13%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 22:15 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.45%E -0.840%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.62%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.45%E -0.840%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.62%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 02:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.45%E -0.840%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.62%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.45%E -0.840%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.62%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.59%E -1.52%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.62%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 02:49 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.62%E -4.58%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 22:00 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.78%E -5.74%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 02:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.78%E -5.74%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.78%E -5.74%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.78%E -5.74%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16% | 2.4% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20% | 12.0% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 68.39% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 31.61% | 32.9% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 68.39% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 31.61% | 32.9% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 68.39% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 31.61% | 32.9% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.10I 90.91%NM 66.67% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 33.33% | 36.4% | 2026-04-24 02:57 |