The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Aleksandar Kovacevic v Moez Echargui

Kickoff: 2026-04-20 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local)

Prediction 65.02%1.54fair odd
EV -0.514%
Edge -0.336%
Kelly -0.970%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%65.04%64.20%69.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.401.441.53100.00%71.23%69.20%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Moez Echargui (Visit)

Prediction 34.98%2.86fair odd
EV +4.93%
Edge +1.64%
Kelly +2.46%
Growth +0.121%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.72%34.96%35.80%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.002.462.583.00100.00%40.62%38.83%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local): 65.02%; Moez Echargui (Visit): 34.98%. For Moez Echargui (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -13.52%E -10.16%K -40.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +4.93%E +1.64%K +2.46%G +0.121%8.5%2026-04-20 15:50
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%EV +2.83%E +0.963%K +1.46%G +0.041%3.5%2026-04-20 15:25
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.06%E -3.49%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 15:49
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.06%E -3.49%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 15:50
Fliff🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.67%E -5.40%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.06%E -3.49%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 15:50
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.81%E -4.24%K -6.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 15:49
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.81%E -4.24%K -6.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -0.514%E -0.336%K -0.970%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -16.06%E -6.69%K -11.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 15:50
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -0.514%E -0.336%K -0.970%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -16.76%E -7.04%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 15:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -34.98%E -34.98%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -65.02%E -65.02%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-04-20 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-20 15:50