The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Pedro Martinez

Kickoff: 2026-04-20 13:55 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local)

Prediction 60.53%1.65fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -3.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.37%60.52%60.21%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.541.6266.67%64.38%64.94%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pedro Martinez (Visit)

Prediction 39.47%2.53fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%39.48%39.79%40.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.372.372.4644.44%42.27%42.19%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local): 60.53%; Pedro Martinez (Visit): 39.47%. For Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.62, with an expected value of -1.94%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.94%E -1.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.48%E -1.85%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-20 12:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.94%E -1.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.48%E -1.85%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-20 12:15
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:10
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -4.37%E -2.76%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 12:55
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.97%E -3.17%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 13:49
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.58%E -3.57%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 13:50
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.18%E -3.99%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.27%E -2.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 13:50
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -6.79%E -4.41%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -11.19%E -4.97%K -8.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 13:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.39%E -4.83%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.29%E -1.34%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 13:34
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.39%E -4.83%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.45%E -2.72%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.39%E -4.83%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.45%E -2.72%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 13:50
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.39%E -4.83%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 05:55
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.00%E -5.26%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.00%E -5.26%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 13:50
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.21%E -6.14%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.27%E -2.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-04-20 13:45