Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.33
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Taylor Fritz (Local): 73.25%; Jaume Munar (Visit): 26.75%. For Jaume Munar (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.02%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -8.44%E -6.75%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +7.02%E +1.75%K +2.34%G +0.164% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 01:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.48%EV -5.51%E -4.27%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.52%EV +6.21%E +1.57%K +2.09%G +0.130% | 2.7% | 2026-10-01 01:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -6.25%E -4.88%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV +2.47%E +0.644%K +0.872%G +0.022% | 4.2% | 2026-10-01 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -6.25%E -4.88%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV +2.47%E +0.644%K +0.872%G +0.022% | 4.2% | 2026-10-01 01:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.60%EV -6.25%E -4.88%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.40%EV +0.596%E +0.158%K +0.216%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 22:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.51%E -4.27%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.328%E +0.087%K +0.119%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-30 22:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.51%E -4.27%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.328%E +0.087%K +0.119%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-30 22:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.51%E -4.27%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.35%E -0.643%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 01:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.32%E -2.51%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.69%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-30 22:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.32%E -2.51%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.69%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-30 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.69%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 22:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.51%E -4.27%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.69%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 01:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.51%E -4.27%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.69%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 01:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.51%E -4.27%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.69%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 01:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.51%E -4.27%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.69%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 01:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.51%E -4.27%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.69%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 22:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.51%E -4.27%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.69%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 01:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.25%E -4.88%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.69%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 01:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.71%E -6.12%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.69%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 01:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.02%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.05%E -3.09%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-30 23:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 23:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 23:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 23:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 23:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 23:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 23:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 23:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 23:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 20:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 23:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 23:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.51%E -4.27%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 01:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.51%E -4.27%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 01:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.51%E -4.27%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-30 22:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.51%E -4.27%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-30 22:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.51%E -4.27%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 01:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.25%E -4.88%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-30 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.25%E -4.88%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-30 22:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.71%E -6.12%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-01 01:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.80%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.20%EV -6.90%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 01:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.05%E -3.09%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -7.70%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 16:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.70%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-30 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.98%E -5.49%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-30 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-30 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-30 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -11.18%E -3.37%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-30 16:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37%EV -7.71%E -6.12%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-30 23:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.58%E -1.94%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -13.05%E -4.02%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 16:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.51%E -4.27%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.05%E -4.02%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-30 23:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.51%E -4.27%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.05%E -4.02%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-30 23:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -7.71%E -6.12%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -13.05%E -4.02%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-30 22:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -14.39%E -4.50%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-30 16:16 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -4.78%E -3.68%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -14.39%E -4.50%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-30 16:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-10-01 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-10-01 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-10-01 00:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-10-01 01:10 |