Language:English
Jiri Lehecka v Zizou Bergs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Prediction 70.83%1.41fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -8.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%70.78%70.84%72.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.351.3776.92%74.34%74.07%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zizou Bergs (Visit)
Prediction 29.17%3.43fair odd
EV +1.50%
Edge +0.432%
Kelly +0.606%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 3.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.35%29.22%29.16%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.163.103.4833.90%31.64%32.26%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 70.83%; Zizou Bergs (Visit): 29.17%. For Zizou Bergs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.50%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -7.21%E -5.50%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV +1.50%E +0.432%K +0.606%G +0.009% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 03:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.08%E -3.79%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +0.629%E +0.182%K +0.257%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-09-30 02:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.04%EV -2.96%E -2.16%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.96%EV -2.00%E -0.594%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-30 02:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.79%E -4.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.29%E -0.683%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 03:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.50%E -4.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.29%E -0.683%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-30 03:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.79%E -4.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 02:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.50%E -4.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-30 03:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.50%E -4.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-30 02:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.72%EV -4.38%E -3.24%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.28%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-29 22:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.20%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-30 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.20%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-30 02:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.20%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-30 02:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.38%E -3.24%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.20%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-30 02:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.38%E -3.24%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.20%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-30 02:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.08%E -3.79%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.20%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 03:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.50%E -4.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.20%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-30 03:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.50%E -4.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.20%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-30 03:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.66%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-30 02:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.08%E -3.79%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.66%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 01:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.08%E -3.79%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.66%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.08%E -3.79%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.66%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 22:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.92%E -6.09%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.66%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-29 21:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.38%EV -5.79%E -4.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.62%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-30 01:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.96%E -2.16%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.96%E -2.16%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 20:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 20:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 20:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 19:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 20:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 20:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 20:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 02:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 02:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 20:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.08%E -3.79%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-30 02:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.79%E -4.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 22:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.79%E -4.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.79%E -4.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-30 03:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-29 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-29 22:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-29 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.79%E -4.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-29 20:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.79%E -4.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-29 21:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.79%E -4.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-29 21:53 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.79%E -4.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-29 21:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -6.50%E -4.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -13.95%E -4.73%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-29 20:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-09-30 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-09-30 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-09-30 03:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-09-30 03:00 |