Language:English
Jiri Lehecka v Valentin Vacherot
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Prediction 63.41%1.58fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -5.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.68%63.35%63.41%64.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.491.491.5369.93%67.09%67.11%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Valentin Vacherot (Visit)
Prediction 36.59%2.73fair odd
EV -0.832%
Edge -0.307%
Kelly -0.486%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.38%36.65%36.59%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.582.602.7144.44%38.77%38.46%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 63.41%; Valentin Vacherot (Visit): 36.59%. For Valentin Vacherot (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.71, with an expected value of -0.832%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -2.99%E -1.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -4.13%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -2.99%E -1.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -4.13%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.99%E -1.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 06:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.07%EV -3.62%E -2.38%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.93%EV -0.832%E -0.307%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-10-05 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.62%E -2.38%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.03%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -3.62%E -2.38%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -6.32%E -2.47%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.62%E -2.38%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.35%E -4.22%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 06:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.62%E -2.38%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.35%E -4.22%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -3.62%E -2.38%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -17.66%E -7.85%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-05 05:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 10:06 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.69%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 09:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.89%E -3.26%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.03%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.89%E -3.26%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.03%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.89%E -3.26%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 21:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.89%E -3.26%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -4.49%E -1.72%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.89%E -3.26%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 03:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.89%E -3.26%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.89%E -3.26%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.89%E -3.26%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.89%E -3.26%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 21:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.89%E -3.26%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 21:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.89%E -3.26%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 21:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.89%E -3.26%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 21:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.89%E -3.26%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.69%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 06:01 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.89%E -3.26%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.35%EV -5.52%E -3.71%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.65%EV -1.56%E -0.581%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 09:21 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -5.52%E -3.71%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 03:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.52%E -3.71%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.52%E -3.71%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.52%E -3.71%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.52%E -3.71%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.52%E -3.71%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.52%E -3.71%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.52%E -3.71%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.52%E -3.71%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.52%E -3.71%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.52%E -3.71%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.52%E -3.71%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.52%E -3.71%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.52%E -3.71%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 05:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.52%E -3.71%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 08:56 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.52%E -3.71%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.69%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.16%E -4.16%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.69%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 10:06 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.16%E -4.16%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 06:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.16%E -4.16%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 06:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.79%E -4.62%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.69%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 10:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.79%E -4.62%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.69%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 10:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.79%E -4.62%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 10:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.13%EV -7.43%E -5.09%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -4.49%E -1.72%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 03:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.06%E -5.56%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.69%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-05 09:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.06%E -5.56%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 05:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.06%E -5.56%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 05:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.69%E -6.04%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-04 22:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.69%E -6.04%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.13%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 21:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.69%E -6.04%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -12.18%E -5.07%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-05 10:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -9.33%E -6.52%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-04 18:26 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 0.3% | 2026-10-05 10:11 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 0.3% | 2026-10-05 10:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-10-05 10:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-10-05 10:11 |