StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Denis Shapovalov v Alejandro Tabilo

2026-10-03 02:00 UTC — ATP Japan Open

Wedstrijduitslag

55 wedaanbieders (19 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Denis Shapovalov (Thuis)

Prognose 58.64%1.71margevrije odds
EV -1.49%
Voordeel -0.885%
Kelly -2.19%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.68

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
56.81%58.68%58.82%60.95%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.501.601.591.6866.67%62.66%62.89%59.52%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Uit)

Prognose 41.36%2.42margevrije odds
EV +1.33%
Voordeel +0.545%
Kelly +0.920%
Groei +0.012%

bij maximale odds 2.45

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
39.05%41.32%41.18%43.19%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.102.302.302.4547.62%43.50%43.48%40.82%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Voor Wedstrijduitslag schat Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) de volgende kansen: Denis Shapovalov (Thuis): 58.64%; Alejandro Tabilo (Uit): 41.36%. Voor Alejandro Tabilo (Uit) komt deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 2.42. 13 wedaanbieders bieden odds boven dat niveau; de beste beschikbare odds zijn 2.45, met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +1.33%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (55 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUit ▼MargeBijgewerkt
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.94%E -5.06%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +1.33%E +0.545%K +0.920%G +0.012%4.5%2026-10-01 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.94%E -5.06%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%4.8%2026-10-01 14:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.94%E -5.06%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%4.8%2026-10-01 14:34
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%5.3%2026-10-01 14:35
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%5.3%2026-10-01 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%5.3%2026-10-01 14:35
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%5.3%2026-10-01 14:35
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%5.3%2026-10-01 14:35
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%5.3%2026-10-01 14:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%5.3%2026-10-01 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%5.3%2026-10-01 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%5.3%2026-10-01 14:34
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%5.3%2026-10-01 14:35
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.76%E -4.25%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -1.56%E -0.656%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 13:19
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.18%E -3.86%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.80%E -1.19%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 13:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.87%E -7.15%K -20.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -2.80%E -1.19%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-01 13:20
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -3.63%E -1.56%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 13:20
Betsson🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.76%E -4.25%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.04%E -1.74%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 13:20
NordicBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.76%E -4.25%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.04%E -1.74%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 13:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.76%E -4.25%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.04%E -1.74%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 15:04
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -1.49%E -0.885%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -4.46%E -1.93%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-01 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.07%E -1.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-01 13:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.07%E -1.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-01 13:45
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-01 13:38
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 15:10
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 15:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.59%E -3.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 15:03
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.76%E -4.25%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 13:19
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.94%E -5.06%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-01 13:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -12.04%E -8.03%K -24.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-01 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -7.35%E -4.65%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -5.28%E -2.31%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 13:20
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:20
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.59%E -3.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 13:45
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.94%E -5.06%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-01 13:20
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.94%E -5.06%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-01 13:15
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.94%E -5.06%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-01 13:45
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.94%E -5.06%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-01 14:33
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.94%E -5.06%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-01 14:34
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -1.49%E -0.885%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -8.59%E -3.89%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 13:36
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.93%EV -9.70%E -6.30%K -17.96%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.07%EV -8.59%E -3.89%K -7.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-01 13:20
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.07%E -1.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.01%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 13:40
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.07%E -1.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.01%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.07%E -1.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.01%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.07%E -1.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.01%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 13:50
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.83%E -2.34%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.01%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.83%E -2.34%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.01%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 13:30
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.01%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-01 13:40
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.01%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-01 13:39
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.18%E -3.86%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.01%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.18%E -3.86%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.01%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 13:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.58%EV -10.87%E -7.15%K -20.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.07%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-01 13:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -9.70%E -6.30%K -17.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -13.14%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-01 13:20
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (4)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%4.1%2026-10-01 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%4.1%2026-10-01 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%4.1%2026-10-01 13:50
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 57.75%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.25%9.6%2026-10-01 13:50