StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Denis Shapovalov v Alejandro Tabilo

2026-10-03 02:00 UTC — ATP Japan Open

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Denis Shapovalov (Heim)

Prognose 58.64%1.71faire Quote
EV -1.49%
Vorteil -0.885%
Kelly -2.19%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.68

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.81%58.68%58.82%60.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.501.601.591.6866.67%62.66%62.89%59.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Auswärts)

Prognose 41.36%2.42faire Quote
EV +1.33%
Vorteil +0.545%
Kelly +0.920%
Wachstum +0.012%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.05%41.32%41.18%43.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.102.302.302.4547.62%43.50%43.48%40.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Denis Shapovalov (Heim): 58.64%; Alejandro Tabilo (Auswärts): 41.36%. Für Alejandro Tabilo (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.42. 13 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.45 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +1.33%.

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.94%E -5.06%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +1.33%E +0.545%K +0.920%G +0.012%4.5%2026-10-01 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.94%E -5.06%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%4.8%2026-10-01 14:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.94%E -5.06%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%4.8%2026-10-01 14:34
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%5.3%2026-10-01 14:35
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%5.3%2026-10-01 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%5.3%2026-10-01 14:35
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%5.3%2026-10-01 14:35
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%5.3%2026-10-01 14:35
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%5.3%2026-10-01 14:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%5.3%2026-10-01 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%5.3%2026-10-01 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%5.3%2026-10-01 14:34
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.507%E +0.209%K +0.355%G +0.002%5.3%2026-10-01 14:35
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.76%E -4.25%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -1.56%E -0.656%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 13:19
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.18%E -3.86%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.80%E -1.19%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 13:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.87%E -7.15%K -20.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -2.80%E -1.19%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-01 13:20
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -3.63%E -1.56%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 13:20
Betsson🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.76%E -4.25%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.04%E -1.74%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 13:20
NordicBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.76%E -4.25%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.04%E -1.74%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 13:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.76%E -4.25%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.04%E -1.74%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 15:04
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -1.49%E -0.885%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -4.46%E -1.93%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-01 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.07%E -1.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-01 13:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.07%E -1.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-01 13:45
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-01 13:38
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 15:10
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 15:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.59%E -3.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 15:03
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.76%E -4.25%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 13:19
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.94%E -5.06%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-01 13:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -12.04%E -8.03%K -24.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-01 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -7.35%E -4.65%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -5.28%E -2.31%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 13:20
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:20
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.59%E -3.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 13:45
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.94%E -5.06%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-01 13:20
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.94%E -5.06%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-01 13:15
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.94%E -5.06%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-01 13:45
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.94%E -5.06%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-01 14:33
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.94%E -5.06%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-01 14:34
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -1.49%E -0.885%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -8.59%E -3.89%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 13:36
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.93%EV -9.70%E -6.30%K -17.96%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.07%EV -8.59%E -3.89%K -7.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-01 13:20
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.07%E -1.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.01%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 13:40
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.07%E -1.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.01%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.07%E -1.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.01%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.07%E -1.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.01%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 13:50
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.83%E -2.34%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.01%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.83%E -2.34%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.01%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 13:30
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.01%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-01 13:40
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.01%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-01 13:39
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.18%E -3.86%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.01%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.18%E -3.86%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.01%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 13:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.58%EV -10.87%E -7.15%K -20.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.07%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-01 13:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -9.70%E -6.30%K -17.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -13.14%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-01 13:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%4.1%2026-10-01 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%4.1%2026-10-01 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%4.1%2026-10-01 13:50
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 57.75%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.25%9.6%2026-10-01 13:50