Language:English
Arthur Fils v Luca Van Assche
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arthur Fils (Local)
Prediction 83.72%1.19fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -12.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.04%83.71%83.58%85.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.141.141.1791.74%87.90%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Luca Van Assche (Visit)
Prediction 16.28%6.14fair odd
EV +5.82%
Edge +0.895%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.062%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.70%16.29%16.42%18.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.605.606.5020.83%17.85%17.86%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arthur Fils (Local): 83.72%; Luca Van Assche (Visit): 16.28%. For Luca Van Assche (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.14. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.82%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.23%E -5.57%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.82%E +0.895%K +1.06%G +0.062% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 06:08 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.23%E -5.57%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.82%E +0.895%K +1.06%G +0.062% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 04:11 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.23%E -5.57%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.82%E +0.895%K +1.06%G +0.062% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 04:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.94%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 6.43I 15.55%NM 15.06%EV +4.68%E +0.728%K +0.862%G +0.040% | 3.3% | 2026-09-30 06:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +1.75%E +0.280%K +0.333%G +0.006% | 3.7% | 2026-09-29 21:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.22%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 6.03I 16.58%NM 15.78%EV -1.83%E -0.304%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 15:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.32%E -0.387%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 04:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.23%E -5.57%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.32%E -0.387%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 04:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.23%E -5.57%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.32%E -0.387%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 04:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.32%E -0.387%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-30 04:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -8.74%E -8.02%K -97.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -2.32%E -0.387%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-30 06:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.73%EV -2.88%E -2.49%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.97I 16.75%NM 16.27%EV -2.81%E -0.471%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-30 06:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.02%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 5.94I 16.84%NM 15.98%EV -3.30%E -0.555%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 04:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -3.95%E -0.670%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 06:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.58%E -0.962%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 05:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.58%E -0.962%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 20:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.58%E -0.962%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 06:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.23%E -5.57%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.58%E -0.962%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-30 06:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.28%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -5.58%E -0.962%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-30 06:46 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.39%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 19:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.39%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.39%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 21:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.39%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.23%E -5.57%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.39%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.23%E -5.57%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.39%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -7.21%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 06:53 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -8.83%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 21:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -8.83%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 21:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.23%E -5.57%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.83%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-30 06:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.46%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 06:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.46%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 06:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.46%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.46%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 06:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.46%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 06:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.46%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.23%E -5.57%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.46%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.09%E -2.24%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 21:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.72%E -3.24%K -24.81%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.53%E -2.77%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 13:41 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.88%E -2.49%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -15.35%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.88%E -2.49%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -15.35%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.88%E -2.49%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -15.35%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 13:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.88%E -2.49%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -15.35%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 13:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.88%E -2.49%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -15.35%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.88%E -2.49%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -15.35%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 13:41 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.88%E -2.49%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -15.35%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.88%E -2.49%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -15.35%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.88%E -2.49%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -15.35%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.88%E -2.49%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -15.35%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.88%E -2.49%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -15.35%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.88%E -2.49%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -15.35%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -3.72%E -3.24%K -24.81%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -15.35%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -3.72%E -3.24%K -24.81%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -15.35%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 23:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.05%E -1.75%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -18.60%E -3.72%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 06:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.60%E -3.72%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-29 23:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.60%E -3.72%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-29 23:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -6.23%E -5.57%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -21.86%E -4.55%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-29 13:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-09-30 06:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-30 06:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-30 06:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-30 06:55 |