The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Rinky Hijikata v Nikoloz Basilashvili

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rinky Hijikata (Local)

Prediction 40.49%2.47fair odd
EV +0.415%
Edge +0.167%
Kelly +0.281%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.22%40.55%40.50%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.312.302.4845.45%43.29%43.48%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nikoloz Basilashvili (Visit)

Prediction 59.51%1.68fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%59.45%59.50%60.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.591.581.6564.52%63.05%63.29%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rinky Hijikata (Local): 40.49%; Nikoloz Basilashvili (Visit): 59.51%. For Rinky Hijikata (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.415%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV +0.415%E +0.167%K +0.281%G +0.001%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -4.78%E -2.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-05 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV +0.415%E +0.167%K +0.281%G +0.001%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -4.78%E -2.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-05 15:23
ReBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -3.23%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.38%E -3.38%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 15:24
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.59%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.97%E -3.78%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.57%E -4.18%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 15:25
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.16%E -4.59%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 15:24
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 15:25
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.78%E -2.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 15:25
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.57%E -4.18%K -11.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 15:24
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 15:19
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 15:19
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.97%E -3.78%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 15:24
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.57%E -4.18%K -11.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 15:24
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.57%E -4.18%K -11.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.57%E -4.18%K -11.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 15:23
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%EV -9.30%E -4.15%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.16%E -4.59%K -12.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 15:24
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 15:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-05-05 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-05-05 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-05-05 15:25
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.5%2026-05-05 15:25
Novig◎2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%2.8%2026-05-05 15:25