Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.51
assuming max odds 1.61
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Patrick Kypson (Local): 39.00%; Titouan Droguet (Visit): 61.00%. For Titouan Droguet (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.61, with an expected value of -1.80%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -2.10%E -0.837%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -4.85%E -3.11%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 09:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.66%E -1.48%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 10:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.44%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.68%E -4.36%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 10:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.61%E -2.32%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.85%E -3.11%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -6.39%E -2.66%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.80%E -1.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-05 07:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -6.39%E -2.66%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.80%E -1.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-05 07:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.39%E -2.66%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.63%E -2.29%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 10:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.39%E -2.66%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 07:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.39%E -2.66%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.68%E -4.36%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 02:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.39%E -2.66%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.68%E -4.36%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 02:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.39%E -2.66%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.68%E -4.36%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 10:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.17%E -3.01%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.68%E -4.36%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 06:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.17%E -3.01%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.68%E -4.36%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 02:08 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.17%E -3.01%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.68%E -4.36%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.34%E -3.55%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.80%E -1.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-04 23:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.34%E -3.55%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.63%E -2.29%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.34%E -3.55%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.68%E -4.36%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.34%E -3.55%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -7.90%E -5.23%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-05 10:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.34%E -3.55%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.51%E -5.67%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-05 10:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.34%E -3.55%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.51%E -5.67%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-05 10:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.29%E -4.47%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -12.24%E -5.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.84%EV -7.90%E -5.23%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 1.1% | 2026-05-05 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 1.1% | 2026-05-05 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 1.1% | 2026-05-05 10:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 10:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08% | 3.6% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |